ビットコイン価格予測:アナリストらは調整が続く中、BTCは3万6000ドルまで下落するとみている

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リリース: 2024-09-08 15:30:16
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ビットコインの最近の価格下落は、主要な仮想通貨が下落軌道を続ける中、投資家に不安を残している。ビットコインの価値が20%以上下落した数カ月にわたる調整を受け、アナリストらは今後さらなる問題が起こると予想している。

ビットコイン価格予測:アナリストらは調整が続く中、BTCは3万6000ドルまで下落するとみている

ビットコインの価格はここ数カ月間下落傾向にあり、主要な仮想通貨の価値が下がり続けているため投資家に不安を与えている。数カ月にわたる調整によりビットコインはその価値の20%以上を失ったが、アナリストらは今後さらなる問題が起こると予測している。

市場専門家らは現在、需要の低迷と厳しい市場環境を理由に、ビットコインが今後数カ月で3万6000ドルまで下落する可能性があると予想している。仮想通貨市場はかつて価格の急速な回復で知られていたが、今回は回復の鈍化に直面している。ビットコインが上昇の勢いを強めるのに苦労している中、弱気派が主導権を握っており、トレーダーらはさらなる価格下落の可能性に備えている。

Bitcoin’s current market correction began over six months ago, with the digital asset slipping from its all-time highs and entering a long downtrend. While corrections are nothing new in the volatile world of cryptocurrency, this particular decline has been marked by its duration. At present, Bitcoin is down approximately 23% from its recent peak, a substantial drop, though not the steepest in its history.

For some traders, this correction isn’t too concerning. After all, Bitcoin has experienced far worse in the past and has always bounced back. However, others are becoming increasingly wary as the price slide continues. With no clear signs of a recovery in sight, analysts are warning that Bitcoin’s price could dip even further.

Leading the charge of bearish predictions is trader and market analyst ‘Crypto Louca’, who recently shared his thoughts on social media. According to Louca, Bitcoin is likely to retreat even further before finding a bottom. His prediction places Bitcoin’s price somewhere between $36,000 and $46,000 in the short term.

This sentiment is shared by other prominent traders. Another analyst, known as Income Sharks, also foresees a dip below $50,000 in the near future. While Income Sharks remains cautiously optimistic that Bitcoin could regain upward momentum in October, they caution that if this doesn’t happen, the outlook for the rest of the year could be bleak.

Despite these bearish forecasts, not all analysts are ready to throw in the towel just yet. Income Sharks, for one, maintains a neutral stance overall. When asked about their long-term view on Bitcoin, the analyst stated, “If it wasn’t an election year, I’d be bearish.” This suggests that political events, such as the upcoming U.S. elections, could still influence the market and potentially lead to a reversal in Bitcoin’s fortunes.

Aside from chart patterns and technical indicators, one of the key factors driving Bitcoin’s price decline is a lack of demand. Julio Moreno, head of research at cryptocurrency analytics firm Crypto Quant, pointed out that demand for Bitcoin has remained low in recent months. “Bitcoin’s price is down simply because there is no demand growth,” he explained, adding that all current valuation metrics indicate a bearish market.

The issue of weak demand is a significant one. Without new buyers entering the market, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain its value. While many analysts expect demand to pick up in the fourth quarter, particularly as the holiday season approaches, much will depend on broader economic conditions. If global markets continue to face uncertainty, it’s possible that Bitcoin could remain under pressure for some time.

Technical analysts are also pointing to specific chart patterns that indicate more downside for Bitcoin. Renowned chartist Peter Brandt recently identified a formation known as an “inverted expanding triangle” or “megaphone” pattern in Bitcoin’s price chart. This pattern suggests that Bitcoin could fall to around $46,000 if it fails to break through its current resistance levels.

Brandt explained that for Bitcoin to reverse its downward trend, it would need a significant upward surge, potentially pushing the price to new all-time highs. However, with selling pressure currently outweighing buying, this seems unlikely in the short term.

Brandt’s analysis aligns with the views of other technical traders, who have observed similar patterns forming in Bitcoin’s chart. The market appears to be in a consolidation phase, with traders waiting for a clear signal before committing to new positions.

Despite the bearish sentiment, some analysts believe that Bitcoin could still recover in the coming months. Historically, Bitcoin has experienced sharp price corrections followed by explosive rallies, and some traders are hopeful that this pattern will repeat itself.

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