Over the past year, Memecoin has been the best-performing sector in the cryptocurrency market. Today, the total market capitalization of Memecoin has surpassed $100 billion, exceeding the combined total of DeFi, DePin, gaming, and the metaverse.
A new market map has been created to identify opportunities within the rapidly expanding Memecoin asset class, which now boasts a total market capitalization of over $120 billion—surpassing DeFi, DePin, gaming, and the metaverse combined.
This market has seen a remarkable evolution throughout 2023, with each quarter being dominated by different Memecoins. In the first quarter, $POPCAT, $WIF, $MOG, and $MYRO led the way, followed by $PONKE, $SPX, $TURBO, $GIGA, $WOJAK, $BRETT, and $MOG in the second quarter. Finally, the third quarter saw $SPX, $GIGA, $FUD, and $MUMU emerging as the top performers.
When it comes to Memecoins, understanding "meta" (cultural trends and movements) is crucial for any attempt at market analysis. This factor has a much greater impact on Memecoins than on other cryptocurrency categories. To highlight some significant Meta changes and emerging trends, an extended timeline has been created:
The Memecoin market was largely dominated by Doge until 2021, when Shiba Inu arrived as the first true "Doge killer." People flocked to it, hoping to replicate Doge's success. This search for the "next XX" mentality is the root of forming Meta. Shiba Inu's success spawned various dog- and Elon Musk-related Memecoins, making 2021 the first true Memecoin Meta. Then, in 2023, Pepe Coin's launch drove a surge of frog-related Memecoins and the "boys club," while Bonk and Wif coins later established Solana as the dominant chain for Memecoins, leading to pump.fun. In the first quarter of 2023, the Memecoin market erupted in a frenzy, with new Metas emerging almost weekly or even daily. After reaching a local peak in March, the market slowed slightly in the summer. However, as Bitcoin began to break out, market enthusiasm surged again, with new Metas continuously emerging, including $GOAT, $MOODENG (the cute hippo coin), and $PEANUT, among others.
Today, the Memecoin market is overflowing with Metas, and an attempt has been made to categorize the market.
As you can see, Dogecoin still leads the Memecoin market, mainly due to Doge. A few weeks ago, when we started compiling this data, the Sentient AI category was almost nonexistent, and the Martyr category did not show significant performance (although we must respect the OG coin $Harambe). This is enough to demonstrate the rapid evolution of the Memecoin market.
Unsurprisingly, Dogecoin's dominance has gradually declined since Pepe Coin's launch.
It seems this trend will continue, as new Metas will keep emerging, and different sectors will be pushed into the spotlight.
From the changes in market capitalization across categories, several interesting trends emerge.
For instance, Memecoins in the Crypto Culture category (like $bitcoin) gained some attention in 2023, especially when relatively little new capital was entering the market at that time. However, with the influx of new capital towards the end of the year, the Crypto Culture category gradually gave way to broader internet culture (like $giga, $npc, etc.).
As mentioned earlier, the rapid rise of $GOAT and $PEANUT is also quite surprising. While it may still be too early to categorize them into new categories, it is evident that there are many AI-related Memecoins today, with market capitalizations already reaching nine figures.
Additionally, earlier celebrity tokens and politically related Memecoins saw some growth, but most have gradually cooled off since then.
Over time, Memecoins could potentially become a fractal of the entire cryptocurrency market, with Dogecoin's status akin to Bitcoin (BTC). Some "cult coins" will have loyal community support and exist long-term; however, most Memecoins may be fleeting like NFTs in 2021.
Nevertheless, it is clear that there are significant opportunities for early entry into new Metas.
I anticipate that the fastest-growing categories in the future will be internet culture and self-aware AI. Internet culture is already widely recognized and has a rich cultural foundation, giving it a clear advantage over other categories. Self-aware AI combines the most exciting technology with the most volatile asset class, and they may continue to dominate the Memecoin market in the future.
As for the open market space, there will always be room for new animal species—many animals are currently lacking in the market, especially some exotic ones (like tigers, giraffes, zebras, etc.). As for entirely new categories of Memecoins, existing fan cultures (like superheroes, sports, etc.) may be creatively tokenized.
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