Bitcoin (BTC) Shows Signs of Resilience Amid Market Fluctuations, Coinbase Premium and 'Golden Cross' Indicator Offer Hope for Short-Term Recovery

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of resilience in the face of recent market fluctuations, with the price hovering around $61,361.60. According to recent analysis, the combination of robust demand in the United States and a technical indicator known as the “golden cross” may provide the support needed for a short-term recovery.

Bitcoin (BTC) price seems to be finding support amid the recent market downturn, with the world’s largest cryptocurrency circling the $61,361.60 (€53,632.08) mark on October 3. This comes as strong demand from the United States, coupled with a technical indicator known as the “golden cross,” might be setting the stage for a short-term recovery, according to recent analysis.

Strong US Demand Fuels Optimism

On October 3, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlighted the potential for a BTC price increase, mainly driven by strong demand from US investors. This optimism comes at a time when Bitcoin has faced several tests of its $60,000 support amid geopolitical concerns, especially regarding the situation in the Middle East.

表明这种强劲需求的关键指标之一是 Coinbase 溢价。这一溢价反映了美国最大的加密货币交易所之一 Coinbase 上交易的比特币与另一家主要交易所 Binance 上的 BTC/USDT 货币对之间的价格差异。 Coinbase 溢价较高通常表明美国市场需求强劲。

CryptoQuant 撰稿人 Yonsei Dent 详细阐述了 Coinbase 溢价的重要性，并指出它在历史上与 BTC 价格行为相关。特别是，最近形成的“金叉”（当短期移动平均线穿越长期移动平均线时出现的看涨信号）可能至关重要。

“我们在 1 小时时间范围内分析了 Coinbase 溢价指数，以观察短期动能，并利用 24 小时（每日）和 168 小时（每周）移动平均线来了解更多背景信息，”Yonsei Dent 解释道。 “从历史上看，当每日移动平均线形成势头强劲的黄金十字时，我们很快就会看到价格的大幅波动。”

上一次出现这种金叉是在 9 月底，恰逢比特币升至 66,000 美元以上。分析显示，即使随后价格调整至 61,000 美元左右，美国投资者的持续需求也表明新的上行压力。

市场情绪与未来展望

Coinbase 最近的表现显示出相对于 Binance 的正溢价，这对于比特币的价格表现来说通常是一个令人鼓舞的迹象。随着比特币测试其支撑位，这些交易所出现了大量提款，这是自 2022 年 11 月 FTX 崩溃以来的最高提款率。

CryptoQuant 的 Coinbase Flow Pulse 可衡量比特币从其他交易所流入 Coinbase 的情况，进一步支持了这一积极前景。撰稿人小阿克塞尔·阿德勒 (Axel Adler Jr.) 指出：“从所有交易所流入 Coinbase 的比特币仍处于绿色区域，这表明美国市场对比特币的需求强劲。”尽管最近当地出现回调，但他强调看涨趋势仍然存在。

警告：虽然当前指标显示短期复苏的潜力，但建议市场参与者谨慎行事。比特币的价格走势仍然受到外部因素的影响，例如更广泛的经济状况和监管发展。加密货币市场以其波动性而闻名，虽然 Coinbase 溢价和黄金交叉等积极信号令人鼓舞，但应在更广泛的市场叙述和价格变动的背景下看待它们。

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