Worldcoin (WLD) Price Prediction: Is a Strong Downtrend Inevitable?

Worldcoin (WLD) price has seen a sharp decline, dropping 20% in the past week amid growing bearish sentiment. Further fueling concerns, the FTX estate is set to sell a large batch of locked WLD tokens at a significant discount.

Worldcoin (WLD) price has sharply declined by 20% in the past 7 days as bearish sentiment grips the market. Adding to the concerns, the FTX estate is set to auction off a large batch of locked WLD tokens at a significant discount.

This move is likely to introduce strong selling pressure in the market, negatively impacting the token’s price. Moreover, technical indicators are pointing toward a downtrend, presenting challenges for WLD to regain its previous market enthusiasm.

WLD’s 7-day Social Dominance Moving Average has plummeted to 0.132%, a sharp decline from the high of 0.60% observed on September 25. This previous peak in social presence coincided with WLD’s price surge to $2.15, marking its highest level since August 1.

Social dominance reflects the level of attention and discussion a coin receives on social media platforms relative to other assets. The drastic decrease in WLD’s social presence could indicate that the hype surrounding the token is fading.

This is especially noteworthy considering that WLD has dropped -53.20% year-to-date, its market cap has fallen below $1 billion, and it has lost a staggering -85.57% from its all-time high.

These combined factors suggest that WLD might be losing momentum, struggling to recapture the excitement it once generated in the market.

The FTX estate’s auction of 22.3 million locked Worldcoin tokens, valued at around $37.7 million, will have a major impact on WLD's market price by introducing strong downward pressure.

This is especially crucial considering that the proposed discounts range from 40% to 75% off the current market price of $1.69. The selling is set to begin today, October 2.

Offering such a large batch of tokens at a steep discount could dampen market sentiment. It may signal to investors that the token is being offloaded at a lower valuation, potentially driving expectations of further price declines.

This substantial discount also introduces the possibility of undercutting the token’s spot price, as buyers in the auction would be acquiring WLD tokens at a significantly reduced cost compared to the open market. That could lead to sell-offs once these tokens become liquid, further pushing down the price.

Furthermore, the extended lockup period, with tokens unlocking daily through 2028, may create added uncertainty among investors about the token’s future liquidity. With only a limited number of tokens unlocking each day, there could be concerns about the available supply and whether future demand will be strong enough to absorb the gradual influx of newly unlocked tokens.

WLD recently experienced a golden cross in its EMA lines, where the shorter EMA crossed above the longer EMA, sparking a price increase from $1.53 to $2.18 between September 23 and September 26. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lines are indicators that give more weight to recent price data, allowing traders to identify trends faster than simple moving averages.

However, despite this initial bullish signal, WLD has dropped 20% over the past 7 days. Now, the shorter EMA is beginning to cross down below the longer ones. That is considered a bearish signal, as it suggests the momentum is shifting from buyers to sellers.

Combined with the FTX estate’s auction of WLD tokens and the recent drop in social dominance, WLD could be entering a stronger downtrend. Its next key support lies around $1.51, and if the selling pressure continues, it could fall as low as $1.28.

However, if WLD manages to bounce back, it may test resistances at $1.84 or $1.98. Should these levels be broken, it could trigger a rally up to $2.47, marking its highest price since late July.

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