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This Week Is Set to Be Eventful for the US Economy, and the Crypto Market

王林
Release: 2024-08-26 21:33:11
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Key events including Consumer confidence, jobless claims, and GDP revisions could significantly influence the crypto market.

This Week Is Set to Be Eventful for the US Economy, and the Crypto Market

A packed week lies ahead for the US economy, with key events that could have a substantial impact on the crypto market. The week will kick off with the release of the US Consumer Confidence Index by The Conference Board on Tuesday, 27 August. This index provides a glimpse into consumer attitudes, buying intentions, and vacation plans, offering valuable insights into future spending trends.

较高的消费者信心水平通常意味着支出增加,可能刺激经济活动。在这种情况下,随着乐观情绪推动市场行为,比特币等资产可能会出现投资激增。

相反,消费者信心下降可能意味着支出减少,这可能促使美联储维持更加鸽派的态度,从而可能增加金融体系的流动性。

周四,注意力将转向首次申请失业救济人数报告,这是美国劳动力市场健康状况的关键指标。最近,美国初请失业金人数逐渐增加,反映出劳动力市场降温。

最新报告的数字为 232,000,经济学家预计即将发布的数据将小幅增加至 234,000。初请失业金人数增幅高于预期可能表明经济不稳定,导致投资者寻求比特币作为对冲传统市场波动的避难所。

另一方面,索赔下降可能会增强对传统资产的信心,从而可能将投资从加密货币转移出去。

周四晚些时候,第二次修订的国内生产总值(GDP)数据将发布。 GDP衡量一个国家的经济总量,是整体经济健康状况的重要指标。

积极的修正可能预示着强劲的经济增长,鼓励投资者冒险投资比特币和其他加密货币等风险较高的资产。相反,向下调整可能会抑制市场情绪,导致加密货币价格回落。

美国经济分析局 (BEA) 将于周五发布个人收入、支出、PCE 指数和核心 PCE 数据,结束本周。这些数字对于理解通货膨胀和消费者行为至关重要。

个人收入和支出数据疲弱,加上通胀疲软,可能为 9 月份大幅降息铺平道路,从而可能提振对比特币等风险资产的需求。然而,消费能力的急剧下降可能会重新引发人们对经济衰退的担忧,从而可能减少对加密货币的需求。

个人消费支出(PCE)指数,特别是不包括食品和能源价格的核心PCE,将作为关键的通胀指标。

高于预期的核心个人消费支出数据将预示着持续的通胀压力,可能会促使投资者将比特币视为通胀对冲工具。相反,随着投资者寻求更稳定的投资选择,较低的核心 PCE 可能会降低加密货币的吸引力。

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