Why is the next reasonable target for Ripple (XRP) price $4.50? Learn about it in one article

Table of contents

• Key points:
• Institutional Fund Return XRP Investment Tool
• Derivatives market sends bullish signals
• XRP price points to record highs

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Analysis pointed out that as institutional interest recovers and derivatives trading activity increases, XRP may usher in a strong increase, with a target price of US$4.50 or even higher.

Key points:

• Upside potential stems from growing institutional demand and rising open contracts, which are expected to hit new highs.
• Analysts predict that XRP price may continue to rise, with a first attack of $3.12 and then challenged the key position of $4.50.

In the past 24 hours, XRP price has risen by 1.7%, with a cumulative increase of 6% in the past seven days. On Thursday, the price successfully stood above the $3 mark. Many market observers believe that with the dual support of on-chain data and technical forms, the token has the basis for further upward trend.

Institutional Fund Return XRP Investment Tool

According to the latest CoinShares report, institutional-grade investment products targeting XRP are continuing to attract inflows.

XRP Exchange-traded products (ETPs) achieved net inflows of $14.7 million in the week ended Friday, bringing the total inflows to $1.4 billion this year.

Crypto Fund Movement Source: CoinShares

In terms of performance of other mainstream assets during the same period: Bitcoin (BTC) received a net inflow of US$524 million, Solana (SOL) recorded a inflow of US$16.1 million, and Sui (SUI) entered a inflow of US$600,000. Ethereum (ETH) saw a capital outflow of up to $912 million, suggesting that some capital may be shifting from ETH to alternative digital assets including XRP.

The market generally expects the United States to approve the XRP ETF, and this prospect becomes the core driving force for the recent trend. XRP prices are expected to continue to strengthen as more institutional investors enter the market.

Derivatives market sends bullish signals

The participation of the XRP derivatives market is also recovering, and new positions continue to be established, indicating that speculative sentiment is heating up.

XRP’s open contract (OI) grew 11% in the past seven days, from $7.4 billion on September 4 to $8.3 billion at present, reflecting increased trader confidence. In the past 24 hours alone, OI has increased by 4%.

XRP Futures Open Contract Data Source: CoinGlass

In addition, the funding rate for perpetual contracts has been in the positive range since August 1 and has steadily increased over the past ten days (see the figure below). This indicator is positive means that the bulls need to pay fees to the shorts, indicating that the market is more willing to go long than shorts.

XRP OI Weighted Funding Rate Source: Glassnode

The growth of open contracts combined with the forward capital rate will help XRP maintain its strength in the short term and consolidate its operating pattern above US$3.

XRP price points to record highs

Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView data show that since mid-July, XRP prices have been in a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern at the daily level for a long time.

On Monday, the XRP daily closing price broke through the upper triangle resistance level (approximately US$2.95), confirming the effectiveness of the upward breakthrough.

"XRP has ended months of consolidation and has verified the breakthrough by successfully testing the $3 mark," analyst CasiTrades said on the X platform on Wednesday.

The market momentum has gradually increased, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) jumped from 36 to 54 in one week.

CasiTrades noted that after breaking through $3, the next key resistance is at $3.08 and $3.27.

In the longer term, the Fibonacci extension target of this consolidation structure has not changed, and is still pointing to the US$4.50 area as the main target.

XRP/USD Daily Chart Source: CasiTrades

However, the bulls still need to overcome the important resistance of the all-time high of $3.66. “Once the breakthrough is completed, the area is likely to be transformed into a support area in subsequent pullbacks,” the analyst added.

From a short-term perspective, analyst Egrag Crypto pointed out that as long as the support of $2.97 in the four-hour chart does not break, the target of the upward triangle pattern will still be locked at $3.12.

The target is estimated to be US$3.12, and the possibility of further upward exploration is not ruled out.

XRP/USD Four-hour image source: Egrag Crypto

Previously, Cointelegraph reported that if the daily closing price of XRP/USDT is stable at $3, it will open up space to $3.15 and $3.40.

There are even more optimistic analysts predict that XRP still has the potential to reach a high of US$20 in this cycle.

$XRP#XRP is still on track for $20 this cycle for both the primary and alternative idea.

New floor has been established for good. pic.twitter.com/xAnJ 8cegmz

— XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) September 10, 2025

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