The United States will issue new restrictions in August, affecting US companies' investment in Chinese technology. Chips and artificial intelligence will face comprehensive restrictions.

According to our latest understanding, there seems to be no sign of expansion of U.S. restrictions on domestic semiconductors. This may be the result of previous joint protests by several U.S. IT giants. However, this does not mean that the United States will relax its control over domestic technology. According to reports, the US government plans to issue a new executive order in August to restrict US companies from investing in key technologies in China, including semiconductors, artificial intelligence and quantum computing

However, there is no certainty that the executive order will be enacted in August. The executive order, originally scheduled for the second week of August, has been delayed multiple times, so there is no guarantee it won’t be postponed again. However, discussions within the U.S. government have shifted from the content of the measures to how to roll out the order and related regulations. Additionally, the scope of these restrictions, which will take effect next year, will be determined during the rulemaking process and provide U.S. businesses with a buffer period so stakeholders can weigh in on the final version

It is reported that this executive order will not have an impact on the existing technology investments of US companies in the country, including established R&D centers and production bases. However, the new executive order will restrict certain transactions and investments, especially new investments in semiconductors, artificial intelligence, quantum computing and other fields, and other investments will need to be disclosed to the US government. Note that only these new investments are prohibited

The United States’ restrictions on China’s development of next-generation technologies are part of investment controls that involve many aspects of the country and economy. These new restrictions will further exacerbate the complexity and tension in Sino-US relations. Separately, China also said earlier in July that it would take countermeasures if the United States imposed new restrictions on technology or capital flows, but did not specify what actions it would take.

However, current indications are that the United States does not seem to intend to further expand the scope of export controls. Previously, Intel, Qualcomm and NVIDIA all strongly opposed the US government's expansion of export controls and believed that it would only give competitors more advantages in the market. Currently, domestic technology companies can still purchase U.S. products in some key areas, such as high-computing GPUs for artificial intelligence, while companies that are not subject to U.S. sanctions can still purchase chips from Intel and Qualcomm to develop their own products

AI artificial intelligence and quantum computing are the two main development directions of high-end technology in the future. In the field of AI, the United States is currently in a leading position. Although domestic AI chips are developing rapidly, there is still a clear gap compared with companies such as NVIDIA, AMD and Intel. In terms of AI applications, overseas advantages are also greater. As for quantum computing, both the United States and China are currently developing rapidly, and competition between the two countries in this field will become fierce

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