China and the United States are trapped in a prisoner's dilemma, and artificial intelligence has become uncontrollable? Please refer to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Norms

Something happened recently, and it has been often discussed in the past. What impact will artificial intelligence have on mankind and future prospects? Kissinger also said on his 100th birthday that the competition between China and the United States regarding artificial intelligence will affect the future destiny of both countries and even mankind. This statement is very reasonable.

Recently, more than 300 of the world's top artificial intelligence experts, including American scientists and Chinese scientific research academicians, have jointly initiated initiatives to standardize the development of artificial intelligence.

We say that human beings are always afraid and curious about unknown things. From a psychological point of view, when human beings face an unknown thing, what are their emotions? It means that fear and curiosity coexist. What is it in the early stage? Fear is greater than curiosity. What is it in the later stage? Curiosity is greater than fear. From the perspective of human psychology, this is the basic logical development of unknown things. In the end, curiosity will suppress fear.

AI

I was afraid at first, but later as my curiosity increased, I would approach it step by step, approach it, contact it, tolerate it, etc. We watch human science fiction films from the 1950s to the 1970s. What were the science fiction films at that time? Are there any alien creatures? When we watch "Alien", do we think the alien creatures are an evil race and will they exterminate mankind?

When we watch "Star Trek", we wonder whether alien creatures will be friendly to humans, whether there will be "aliens" in aliens, so-called highly murderous creatures, such as "Predator", what people are worried about is This kind.

But later, with the development of technology, the 1990s entered the Internet era. Regarding "The Matrix", do humans live in real space or virtual space? Zhuang Zhou Dreamed of a Butterfly, did I dream of a butterfly, or am I in a dream now? Science fiction films have begun to appear continuously, such as "Inception" and so on. These are all inspired by Internet information. Regarding real space and cyberspace, which one is true?

Inception

But when we look at artificial intelligence, it is actually more challenging. Why? Because humans still don’t know its principles, what does it mean? Nuclear weapons are very powerful, but we understand the principles of nuclear weapons. Although they are powerful, we know the logic behind them, so the fear is relatively reduced.

What is artificial intelligence? We actually don’t understand its logic. Maybe we knew its logic when we designed our own programs at the beginning, but artificial intelligence is now self-learning, self-enhancement, self-evolution, and self-revolution.

It’s like you have cultivated a case of virus mutation and development, and you found that some viruses have mutated so much that they exceeded your original design intention and are out of human control. People’s fear of artificial intelligence is that I don’t know the logic of its growth. Artificial intelligence can even evolve a language that humans cannot understand at all.

Artificial Intelligence and Human Development

Whether we talk about monkeys or orangutans, whether their communication can be called language, I don’t know. They have their own set of musical notes to express communication methods, but when we look at the human language system, it is more complicated than that of animals. too much. If you speak human language to monkeys and orangutans, they will be completely unable to understand it because the complexity is more than an order of magnitude higher.

Now that artificial intelligence has evolved on its own, the language system that they can understand is simply incomprehensible to humans. This is the logic. We don’t know how it developed to this point, so this is the fundamental reason why we face fear. If we don’t understand the theoretical principles, we don’t dare to apply them. This is the logic.

What is another point? That is to say, in terms of artificial intelligence, there is a prisoner's dilemma between China and the United States.What is the prisoner's dilemma? If a big country applies artificial intelligence technology to war between China and the United States , if the other one doesn’t use it, then the one who doesn’t use it will definitely lose.

Swarm Drone

For example, the United States introduces artificial intelligence technology, swarm drones and other related technologies into war on a large scale. If China does not use it, then China will definitely lose. On the contrary, the United States will definitely lose. The side that does not use it will definitely lose, and the side that uses it will definitely lose. Serious problems can arise. Recently, a U.S. drone operator disclosed information that artificial intelligence does not have the right to fire. What is the order given by humans? It is not to fire. As a result, it chooses what to do and launches missiles against the order not to fire. He asked me He wouldn't fire, so I hit him.

It has recently been revealed that the operator refused to accept human orders and used force to eliminate it, giving him the order not to fire. This incident has caused people's panic and worry. What is its consciousness, what exactly does it think, what is the logic of its thinking, and whether it can communicate. Is this communication more difficult than the communication of human civilization?

We believe that China and the United States each have their own ideologies and national positions. Sometimes it is difficult for us to communicate with the United States. Both sides insist on their own positions and refuse to compromise. You have to know that human beings and Communication with artificial intelligence is not an order of magnitude more difficult than communication between China and the United States. How to communicate with it, etc.

China-US competition

After this incident, what have we verified? Its future is uncertain. Therefore, Kissinger’s 100th birthday and more than 300 global scientists are calling for the development of artificial intelligence and the establishment of an international Norms and standards, R&D and use must formulate strong norms and standards.

I think China and the United States should be at the forefront in this regard. What should it look like? We should refer to the content of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty back then. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty was established in the 1960s. It was first composed of the United States, the Soviet Union, and the United Kingdom. Of course, the United States, the Soviet Union, and the United Kingdom played a participating role. The United States and the Soviet Union had a treaty on nuclear non-proliferation, institutional norms, and verification technology. A series of regulations have been made regarding the path of experiments and restricted areas for technical experiments. These regulations will be continuously improved in the future, and new countries will continue to join in.

I think China and the United States can copy the model of the United States and the Soviet Union in the 1960s. China and the United States have this issue, the feasibility of research and development, the restricted areas of research and development, the feasibility of use, the restricted areas of use, etc. , as well as information notification and information communication mechanisms are established.

Nuclear Arms Control Treaty

With the development of the times, new countries continue to join the artificial intelligence normative system led by the United States and China, making this thing bigger and creating a new constraint. Some people say that the nuclear non-proliferation system is useless. You see, North Korea, India and Pakistan all have nuclear weapons. That is not true. Without the nuclear non-proliferation system, there would be not only 9 but 50 countries with nuclear weapons in the world today.

Today there are only 9 countries with nuclear weapons. This is precisely the result of the mechanism of the nuclear non-proliferation system functioning. If it had not functioned, there would not be 9 countries, but 40 or 50 countries. Therefore, the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty plays an important role in maintaining international nuclear security and balance. It is now time for China and the United States to reach G2 negotiations in the field of artificial intelligence and expand them to the world. It is even urgent!

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