Redstone/RED currency listing price forecast and detailed explanation of token economics

This time, the Redstone token $RED will be launched on Binance TGE! This is also the first time Binance has launched a pre-market trading limit mechanism! The first day limit is 200%, and the ban will be lifted after 3 days to avoid "the peak will be achieved when the market opens"!

Introduction to Launchpool mechanism

Binance Launchpool participating in Redstone requires pledge of designated tokens (BNB, USDC, FDUSD)

The activity period is 48 hours: 08:00 on February 26, 2025 UTC to 08:00 on February 28, 2025 UTC ends

The rules for this pre-market daily limit:

• February 28, 2025 18:00 on February 28, 2025 - 17:59 on March 1, 2025 (East Eighth District Time): The maximum order price is 200% of the opening price

• March 1, 2025 18:00 - March 2, 2025 17:59 (East Eighth District Time): The maximum order price is 300% of the opening price

• March 2, 2025 18:00 - March 3, 2025 17:59 (East Eighth District Time): The maximum orderable price is 400% of the opening price

After March 3, 2025, 18:00 (East Eighth District Time): No price limit

• After the end of Launchpool, the $RED token will be launched on the Binance Exchange, and the specific listing time is 10:00 UTC on February 28, 2025.

• Total token supply: 1,000,000,000

• $RED Initial circulation: 280,000,000 RED (28.00% of the total token volume)

• Launchpool Total: 40,000,000 RED (4% of the total token volume)

$RED Contract address: Ethereum Network: 0xc43c6bfeda065fe2c4c11765bf838789bd0bb5de

• Restrictions: KYC required

• Individual hourly reward hardtop

• $BNB Pool: 66,666 RED

• $FDUSD Pool: 8,333 RED
  • $USDC Pool: 8,333 RED

  • $RED Token Economy

  $RED Token Economy Details:

  • 48.3% Ecology/Community
Agreement Development: 10%

Binance Launchpool: 4%

• Community Creation Reward: 10%
  20% Core Builder

  • 31.7% Early Supporters
  $RED Pledge Flywheel

  • $RED Purpose: Network GAS fees, governance rights, incentive data providers, and 30% of future services are destroyed to enhance the long-term value of $RED!

  Based on RedStone's EigenLayer Active Verification Service (AVS), ecological participants can add a strong layer of economic security to RedStone's oracle stack by staking $RED, especially for the billions of pledges in EigenLayer. The RED can be pledged by data providers, which provide data for RedStone's modular oracle network, or by token holders, enhancing network security through direct pledge on RedStone AVS.
$RED stakers will receive rewards from hundreds of RedStone data users on blockchains paid for on a wide range of assets such as ETH, BTC, SOL and USDC.

• 

  Redstone $RED Valuation Analysis

  Currently, there are not many oracle services that issue coins. Redstone's $RED token growth space depends on the comparison with other oracle services such as Python ($PYTH) and Chainlink ($LINK), especially the ratio of market value (Mcap) and fully diluted valuation (FDV) to total guaranteed value (TVS).

  The current overall market value of the oracle market is 63 billion US dollars (63.48B), Redstone ranks fourth place

  Pyth's TVS is 6.79 billion, the market value is 760 million, the FDV is 2 billion

  Chainlink TVS is 34 billion, the market value is 9.8 billion, and the FDV is 15 billion

  Redstone's TVS is 4.58 billion.

  

  Reference source: Total Value Secured All Oracles

  Based on the above calculations, the potential price range of $RED is as follows: the price range will fall between 1.83 and 4.71 USD

  The first algorithm is used to calculate through existing TVS data and Mcap and FDV of each token

  • Market value to TVS ratio:
    • Pyth: 760 million/6.79 billion≈ 0.1119

    • Chainlink: 9.8 billion/34 billion≈ 0.2882

    • Applied to Redstone (TVS 4.58 billion):
      • Price based on Python: Market value = 0.1119 * 4.58 billion ≈ 514 million US dollars
        Price = 514 million/280 million ≈ 1.84 USD

      Ratio based on Chainlink: Market value = 0.2882 * 4.58 billion ≈ 1.32 billion USD

      • Pyth: 2 billion / 6.79 billion ≈ 0.2945
        Chainlink: 15 billion/34 billion≈ 0.4412
    Applied to Redstone (TVS 4.58 billion):

  • Pyth-based ratio: FDV = 0.2945 * 4.58 billion ≈ 1.349 billion US dollars

    • Full dilution price = 1.349 billion/1 billion ≈ 1.35 USD

    • Raverage based on Chainlink: FDV = 0.4412 * 4.58 billion ≈ 2.02 billion USD

    • • The second algorithm is calculated directly through the initial circulation of $RED and the current prices of the other two tokens
        2. Direct comparison
        • If the market value or FDV of $RED is the same as Python or Chainlink, the price is as follows:

        If the market value is the same as Python (US$760 million):

      • Price = 760 million/280 million≈ 271 USD

        • If FDV is the same as Python (US$2 billion):
      Price = 2 billion/1 billion=2 USD

  If the market value is the same as Chainlink (US$9.8 billion):

  Price = 9.8 billion/280 million≈ 35 USD

  • If FDV is the same as Chainlink (US$15 billion):

    • Price = 15 billion/1 billion= USD

  If $RED reaches the market value or FDV of Python or Chainlink, its price may be between $2 and $35, but estimates based on TVS ratios are more realistic, so the fair value will fall between 1.35-4.71.

  比较基准 市场价值(亿美元) 价格(美元) FDV (亿美元) 完全稀释价格(美元) 基于Pyth 的Mcap/TVS 比率 5.14 1.84 - - 基于Chainlink 的Mcap/TVS 比率 13.20 4.71 - - 基于Pyth 的FDV/TVS 比率 - - 13.49 1.35 基于Chainlink 的FDV/TVS 比率 - - 20.20 2.02 与Pyth 相同Mcap 7.6 2.71 - - 与Pyth 相同FDV - - 20 2 与Chainlink 相同Mcap 98 35 - - 与Chainlink 相同FDV - - 150 15 Benchmark	Market value (billion US dollars)	Price (US dollars)	FDV (billion US dollars)	Fully diluted price (dollar)
  Mcap/TVS based on Python Ratio	5.14	1.84	-	-
  Mcap/TVS based on Chainlink Ratio	13.20	4.71	-	-
  FDV/TVS based on Python Ratio	-	-	13.49	1.35
  FDV/TVS based on Chainlink Ratio	-	-	-	20.20	2.02
  with Python Same Mcap	7.6	2.71	-	-
  with Python Same FDV	-	-	20	2
  2
  with Chainlink Same Mcap	98	35	-	-	-	150	15
  15

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