There’s no denying that Bitcoin has significantly underperformed in recent months and has fallen short of the high expectations held by many bullish
Bitcoin has fallen short of the high expectations held by many bullish market participants in recent months. This underperformance has been especially evident in the past few weeks, where the cryptocurrency has faced considerable declines.
Bitcoin’s price has dropped by 8.2% over the last seven days and 5.4% in the past 20 days, pushing more short-term holders into losses. A well-known crypto analyst is now weighing in on the situation.
According to Caleb Franzen, who is known for his bullish outlook on Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency's underwhelming performance has now positioned the cryptocurrency at a crucial juncture, which will determine whether the bull market can continue.
Franzen recently shared his thoughts on the matter in a post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter). In the post, Franzen highlighted how Bitcoin's bullish structure seems to be breaking down.
This statement was made as part of a post in which the analyst noted how Bitcoin’s bullish structure seems to be breaking down. Known for his historically bullish stance on Bitcoin, Franzen has consistently predicted upward trends for the cryptocurrency.
However, his latest remarks signal a shift in his outlook as he begins to reassess his last bullish prediction in light of current market conditions.
“This is the moment for Bitcoin,” the analyst noted.
This statement was made as part of a post in which the analyst noted how Bitcoin’s bullish structure seems to be breaking down. Known for his historically bullish stance on Bitcoin, Franzen has consistently predicted upward trends for the cryptocurrency.
However, his latest remarks signal a shift in his outlook as he begins to reassess his last bullish prediction in light of a noticeable decline in bullish momentum.
Franzen, who is known for his bullish outlook on Bitcoin, has been shifting his stance in recent months as the cryptocurrency continues to trade below his expectations.
Previously, the analyst had predicted that Bitcoin would rally to above $90,000 by the end of 2 precious bull market cycles, which began in December 2023 and March 2024, respectively.
Now, as the year comes to a close, he is left to reassess his bullish outlook, which had brought him a lot of criticism over the years.
“I've been overly optimistic on Bitcoin's price performance for the last six months and fully deserve the criticism I've received for it,” he noted in his recent statement.
Franzen went on to explain his decision to temper his optimism by highlighting various trading indicators that have now turned negative for Bitcoin. Among these, he highlighted the Williams %R, a momentum indicator, which has failed to show any bullish momentum over the past 60 days.
Furthermore, he pointed to the lack of overbought signals, the negative slopes of critical moving averages like the 21, 55, and 200 EMAs, and a noticeable decline in risk appetite among investors.
According to Franzen, these indicators should be viewed objectively, and their current state suggests that it's time to acknowledge the present reality of Bitcoin's price struggle.
Despite this, Franzen remains cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential, adding that he still believes in the cryptocurrency's ability to reach new all-time highs in the future.
Bitcoin's price dropped below $54,270 at press time, showing a slight recovery from Friday's lows of around $53,800.
The cryptocurrency is now facing resistance at the key support level of $54,000, which has been holding strong throughout the past few weeks.
If the price manages to break through this level, we could see a further decline in the price of Bitcoin for the rest of the weekend. Interestingly, this aligns with a recent price outlook by Arthur Hayes, who expects a break below $50,000 this weekend. Hayes is the co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX.
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