Learn more about Ripple (XRP) rebound stagnates and shows a false breakthrough of $3, and the giant whale continues to sell pressure to cause the upward momentum to decline

Table of contents

• Key points:
• XRP price chart hints more downside space
• Giant Whale Sells XRP at $3
• XRP Ledger network activity declines
• Analysis of Ripple (XRP) upside
• 1. Current prices and recent trends
• 2. Market sentiment and investor views
• 3. ‌Brands and Technology Upgrades‌
• 4. Price forecast and analyst views
• 5. ‌Investment Advice‌

As major players continue to sell off and Ripple’s ledger activity decreases, the risk of Ripple (XRP) price dropping further to $2 is increasing.

Key points:

• Ripple failed to hold $3, indicating that the price is still at risk of falling to $2.40-2.00.
• Big players continue to sell Ripple.
• The daily active address decreased, indicating a decline in trading activity and liquidity.

The price of Ripple (XRP) shows a warning signal below $3. The daily chart shows bearish technical patterns, and large investors continue to sell and network activity decreases.

XRP price chart hints more downside space

Since Ripple's price rose to a new high of US$3.66 for many years, the daily chart has formed a downward triangle pattern, manifested as a horizontal support line and a downward resistance line.

Although the price has recently broken through the upper edge of the triangle, it has not stabilized, forming a false breakthrough. The failure of bulls to defend the $3 mark shows that the market is insufficient momentum.

Therefore, if Ripple fails to return to $3 (50-day moving average) as soon as possible, XRP/USDT may fall to the next support level of $2.70.

When continuing to decline, you need to pay attention to the 200-day moving average of $2.50, followed by the triangle downward target of $2.06, down 31% from the current price.

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

In addition, the Ripple's downward triangle pattern is also accompanied by the bearish flag shape during the same period. If the support of $3 is lost, the flag shape warns that the price may fall to $2.40.

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Cointelegraph reported that if the price returns to $3, the bulls will try to push Ripple to break through the upper edge of $3.20. If successful, Ripple's price is expected to rise to $3.40, and then further challenge $3.66.

Giant Whale Sells XRP at $3

On-chain data shows that big players chose to take profits when they rose to $3.10 this round.

Supply distribution data shows that the supply held by addresses holding 1 million to 10 million Ripple coins fell sharply, falling to 6.79 billion, a six-week low.

The figure below shows that these big players have sold more than 160 million Ripple coins in the past two weeks, with a value of more than US$476 million based on current prices.

This shows that although spot ETFs are approved and Fed rate cut expectations are heating up, large investors may still be bearish on short-term price trends.

XRP supply distribution. Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, Glassnode data shows that Ripple exchange reserves have increased significantly.

Data shows that from August 27 to Monday, the exchange's Ripple balance increased by 665 million to 3.94 billion, further increasing the market's available supply.

XRP Exchange Reserve. Source: Glassnode

XRP Ledger network activity declines

In the past two months, the activity of Ripple's network has dropped significantly. Data on the CryptoQuant chain shows that the number of daily active addresses is far below the July 18 high of 50,482.

As of press time, the daily active address was only about 21,000, and the user transaction volume dropped sharply, which may reflect weaker market interest or insufficient confidence in Ripple's short-term prospects.

XRP daily active address. Source: CryptoQuant

During the same period, the number of new addresses also fell from 11,000 per day at the 2025 high to the current 4,300, indicating a decline in network adoption and user activity.

Historical data show that a decline in network activity usually indicates a stagnation or decline in prices, as reduced trading volumes lead to a decrease in liquidity and buying momentum.

Analysis of Ripple (XRP) upside

1. Current prices and recent trends

‌Price Performance‌: As of September 15, 2025, the price of XRP was approximately US$3.05, the highest was US$3.07 in 24 hours and the lowest was US$2.95. It has shown a volatile downward trend recently. The MACD indicator shows that the Air Force has the dominance.

‌Technical: Trading volume decreases, market activity decreases, short-term support is at $2.0 and resistance is at $3.0. If it falls below the support level, it may further pull back; if it breaks through the resistance level, it is expected to start a rebound.

2. Market sentiment and investor views

‌Sensational Differentiation‌: The market is affected by the progress of SEC litigation, institutional adoption rates and overall cryptocurrency trends. Some analysts believe that if XRP breaks through the $2.73 resistance level, it may rise to $11; but short-term sentiment is cautious and you need to be wary of the risk of pullback‌.

‌Institutional News‌: Ripple has cooperated with several financial institutions to promote cross-border payment applications. For example, the recent XRP payment cooperation with China Airlines may benefit demand in the long run‌.

3. ‌Brands and Technology Upgrades‌

‌Application Scenario‌: XRP focuses on cross-border payments, with transaction speeds of 3-5 seconds, and handling fees as low as US$0.0002. After the upgrade of XRPLedger 2.0, it supports smart contracts and cross-chain protocols, and has significant ecological expansion potential.

‌Regulatory progress‌: The end of the SEC litigation eliminates uncertainty, but we need to continue to pay attention to changes in global regulatory policies‌.

4. Price forecast and analyst views

‌Short-term target‌: US$3.6-4.2 (after technical breakthrough).

‌Medium-term Potential‌: Some analysts are bullish to $8-11, and even predict that it may reach $26 during the bull market cycle (based on historical pattern analogy).

‌Risk Warning‌: If market sentiment turns cold or technical breaks, it may fall to support of US$2.

5. ‌Investment Advice‌

‌Strategy‌: In the short term, wait and see the breakthrough of the USD 3.0 resistance level, and pay attention to the progress of institutional adoption and the development of XRPL ecosystem in the medium and long term.

‌Risk Control‌: Set stop loss (such as $2.9) to avoid excessive leverage‌.

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